+0.84pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
Stoiximan's
+12045.5%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (22.5)
Teal bars cleared 22.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jared Goff Passing Completions 22.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.2% against 55.0% (an edge of -3.8 points) and is now 46.9% against 47.3% (-0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 51.2% | 55.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 47.9% | 53.7% | -5.8 |
| Oct 27, 11:30 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 AM | 48.8% | 54.8% | -6 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 AM | 49.0% | 52.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 7:00 AM | 49.1% | 52.4% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 47.8% | 51.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 52.3% | 50.5% | 1.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 48.8% | 50.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 48.6% | 50.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 51.4% | 50.7% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 48.6% | 50.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 48.6% | 50.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 47.7% | 50.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.5% | 46.9% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 48.0% | 48.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 47.8% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 48.0% | 48.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 48.1% | 47.8% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.0% | 48.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 48.6% | 48.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 47.2% | 48.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 47.6% | 48.3% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 49.8% | 48.5% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 47.2% | 47.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 46.9% | 47.6% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 46.5% | 48.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM | 46.9% | 47.3% | -0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jared goff passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
22.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago | |
|
|
22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 11h ago | ||
| Courtside | 22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 12h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium18 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 3 hours ago.