Projection 8.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 50.5% against 51.5% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 51.4% | 51.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 51.2% | 51.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.8% | 51.8% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 49.0% | 61.6% | -12.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 51.0% | 56.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.5% | 57.1% | -7.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 49.3% | 51.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 51.1% | 51.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 50.8% | 51.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:32 PM | 50.5% | 51.5% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing daniel jones rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 18h ago | ||
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 20m ago | ||
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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