Projection 1.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Kirk Cousins Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 50.4% against 52.6% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 PM | 50.3% | 55.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 47.7% | 53.1% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 AM | 48.6% | 51.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 48.6% | 54.8% | -6.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 50.4% | 53.2% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.1% | 52.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 48.0% | 51.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 47.8% | 52.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 48.9% | 51.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.3% | 51.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.4% | 52.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 50.0% | 53.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 48.9% | 52.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 6:20 PM | 48.6% | 52.3% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 49.3% | 52.3% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 48.9% | 53.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 48.0% | 53.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 49.2% | 53.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.0% | 53.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 AM | 50.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 AM | 50.6% | 53.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 48.6% | 53.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 50.4% | 53.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 48.0% | 53.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 49.0% | 52.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 49.3% | 53.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 PM | 52.0% | 52.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.5% | 53.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 51.4% | 55.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.9% | 54.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.3% | 51.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 51.0% | 54.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.4% | 51.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 51.4% | 51.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 48.2% | 54.1% | -5.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.6% | 51.9% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:43 PM | 50.4% | 52.6% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kirk cousins passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 8h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 25m ago | ||
| Fliff | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fliff last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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