Malik Willis — Passing Attempts
+2.48pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11546.5%47¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-10150.2%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (27.5)
Teal bars cleared 27.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Malik Willis Passing Attempts 27.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 49.8% against 53.0% (-3.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 50.2% | 53.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.7% | 55.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 AM | 53.0% | 54.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 50.9% | 53.9% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 51.6% | 55.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.0% | 53.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 53.5% | 53.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 51.9% | 50.5% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 52.8% | 50.5% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM | 51.0% | 50.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 51.6% | 55.6% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 52.0% | 55.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 50.1% | 54.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 51.7% | 55.0% | -3.3 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 AM | 53.5% | 53.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:27 PM | 49.8% | 53.0% | -3.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing malik willis passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 10h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
27.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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