Ja'Marr Chase — Receptions
Projection 6.8
+1.43pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-11152.6%53¢
against
Stoiximan's
-11854.1%54¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Ja'Marr Chase Receptions 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.1% against 56.1% (an edge of -2 points) and is now 52.8% against 54.5% (-1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 54.1% | 56.1% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 AM | 54.1% | 62.7% | -8.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 49.0% | 58.2% | -9.2 |
| Oct 28, 2:10 PM | 49.1% | 60.5% | -11.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 53.0% | 55.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 53.0% | 56.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 PM | 53.7% | 55.7% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 PM | 53.0% | 57.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 52.6% | 59.7% | -7.1 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 52.9% | 57.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 49.5% | 56.1% | -6.6 |
| Oct 28, 7:30 PM | 50.5% | 58.0% | -7.5 |
| Oct 28, 7:40 PM | 52.8% | 57.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 8:10 PM | 52.0% | 59.7% | -7.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 51.9% | 58.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 54.8% | 57.3% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 AM | 53.9% | 58.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 52.2% | 49.5% | 2.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 53.6% | 57.1% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 54.0% | 55.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 54.0% | 55.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 55.1% | 55.6% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 52.6% | 55.6% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 52.5% | 54.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 54.2% | 55.6% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 53.0% | 55.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 53.1% | 54.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 52.8% | 56.9% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 53.1% | 53.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 53.5% | 53.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.6% | 54.9% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 AM | 53.5% | 55.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 53.1% | 56.3% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 48.3% | 55.9% | -7.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 53.5% | 56.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 54.1% | 55.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 52.2% | 56.3% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.4% | 53.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 52.0% | 55.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 53.9% | 54.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 52.0% | 54.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 53.5% | 56.5% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 52.2% | 56.3% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 52.3% | 56.3% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 50.4% | 53.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 54.0% | 53.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:29 PM | 52.8% | 54.5% | -1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ja'marr chase receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 56m ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
6.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 28m ago | |
 Bovada
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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