Evan Mobley — Threes
Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Evan Mobley Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.4% against 42.0% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 39.0% against 39.1% (-0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 39.4% | 42.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 39.9% | 44.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 38.3% | 44.1% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 40.4% | 41.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 39.9% | 43.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 40.7% | 43.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 40.2% | 43.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 40.1% | 41.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 39.9% | 42.1% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 40.6% | 40.8% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 41.1% | 42.3% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 39.2% | 42.3% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 41.2% | 41.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 39.9% | 43.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 37.8% | 41.5% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 39.9% | 43.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 40.0% | 40.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 40.5% | 41.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 41.1% | 41.4% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 39.9% | 40.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 40.5% | 40.5% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 39.2% | 40.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 41.5% | 40.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 39.2% | 41.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 41.5% | 40.5% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 39.0% | 40.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 38.7% | 40.3% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 38.4% | 40.3% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 38.9% | 40.6% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:32 PM | 39.0% | 39.1% | -0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing evan mobley threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9m ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Novig
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 8m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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