Projection 4.6
+3.59pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+27526.7%27¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+21032.3%32¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Derrick White Assists 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 35.3% against 35.0% (an edge of 0.3 points) and is now 30.4% against 26.7% (3.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1:50 PM | 35.3% | 35.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 27, 2:00 PM | 34.9% | 32.8% | 2.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 33.2% | 32.8% | 0.4 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 32.8% | 38.8% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 32.1% | 26.7% | 5.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 31.3% | 38.5% | -7.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 30.3% | 27.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:44 PM | 30.4% | 26.7% | 3.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 17m ago | ||
|
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium37 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 17 minutes ago.