Projection 20.5
+1.18pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+12544.4%44¢
against
Pinnacle's
+10449%49¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (23.5)
Teal bars cleared 23.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Scottie Barnes Points 23.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.4% against 56.5% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 49.0% against 44.8% (4.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 3:30 AM | 51.4% | 56.5% | -5.1 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 51.1% | 54.5% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 7:20 AM | 49.8% | 52.2% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM | 52.0% | 48.5% | 3.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 49.7% | 48.4% | 1.3 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 49.8% | 48.5% | 1.3 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 AM | 50.5% | 47.6% | 2.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 49.0% | 47.6% | 1.4 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 50.6% | 47.1% | 3.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM | 49.1% | 48.5% | 0.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 50.6% | 48.6% | 2 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM | 51.0% | 49.8% | 1.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 49.0% | 50.2% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 50.8% | 50.2% | 0.6 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 51.7% | 50.6% | 1.1 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 50.7% | 50.0% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 2:40 PM | 51.0% | 49.5% | 1.5 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 50.2% | 49.2% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:50 PM | 48.1% | 48.2% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM | 48.0% | 48.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 PM | 47.8% | 49.3% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 PM | 49.1% | 49.0% | 0.1 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 PM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 48.3% | 49.3% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 PM | 49.1% | 48.5% | 0.6 |
| Nov 1, 5:50 PM | 49.0% | 48.3% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 6:10 PM | 48.1% | 47.4% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 6:20 PM | 47.8% | 47.4% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 6:30 PM | 48.0% | 46.5% | 1.5 |
| Nov 1, 6:40 PM | 47.5% | 46.5% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 PM | 48.0% | 46.5% | 1.5 |
| Nov 1, 7:20 PM | 46.9% | 47.0% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 PM | 48.0% | 45.5% | 2.5 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 PM | 47.5% | 45.5% | 2 |
| Nov 1, 8:10 PM | 48.0% | 45.5% | 2.5 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 PM | 48.0% | 45.2% | 2.8 |
| Nov 1, 9:40 PM | 49.5% | 45.2% | 4.3 |
| Nov 1, 10:00 PM | 50.5% | 44.4% | 6.1 |
| Nov 1, 5:22 PM | 49.0% | 44.8% | 4.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing scottie barnes points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
25.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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