Projection 3.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Brandon Miller Threes 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 57.7% (an edge of -5.7 points) and is now 51.0% against 51.5% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 52.0% | 57.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 41.7% | 56.5% | -14.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 44.0% | 55.6% | -11.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 52.7% | 56.2% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 53.6% | 55.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 52.6% | 55.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 45.8% | 57.3% | -11.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 50.3% | 53.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 50.5% | 57.6% | -7.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 52.8% | 51.9% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 52.2% | 53.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 52.8% | 51.5% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 46.8% | 51.5% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 46.0% | 51.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 50.3% | 51.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 53.8% | 51.7% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 48.8% | 51.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 53.8% | 51.5% | 2.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 51.9% | 54.3% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 52.3% | 54.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 49.7% | 56.9% | -7.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 49.2% | 55.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.5% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 45.2% | 51.7% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 48.1% | 51.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 54.6% | 52.4% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:04 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brandon miller threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9m ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 52m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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