Projection 22.6
+3.94pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+12245%45¢
against
Fanatics Sportsbook's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (26.5)
Teal bars cleared 26.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Brandon Miller Points 26.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.3% against 53.5% (an edge of -4.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 45.3% (4.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 49.3% | 53.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 51.0% | 60.3% | -9.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 49.4% | 52.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 49.6% | 52.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 51.6% | 51.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.0% | 47.4% | 3.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 49.9% | 46.9% | 3 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3 |
| Oct 31, 4:21 PM | 50.0% | 45.3% | 4.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brandon miller points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 26.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
26.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
26.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 52m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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