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Brandon Miller — Points

Projection 22.6

+3.94pp vs fair: NovigNovig prices the over at +12245%45¢ against Fanatics SportsbookFanatics Sportsbook's -10551.2%51¢ .

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (26.5)

Teal bars cleared 26.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).

Brandon Miller Points 26.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.3% against 53.5% (an edge of -4.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 45.3% (4.7 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 31, 7:40 AM 49.3% 53.5% -4.2
Oct 31, 2:10 PM 51.0% 60.3% -9.3
Oct 31, 3:50 PM 49.4% 52.8% -3.4
Oct 31, 4:20 PM 50.0% 51.5% -1.5
Oct 31, 4:30 PM 51.0% 51.9% -0.9
Oct 31, 5:00 PM 49.6% 52.6% -3
Oct 31, 5:10 PM 51.6% 51.7% -0.1
Oct 31, 6:20 PM 51.0% 47.4% 3.6
Oct 31, 7:10 PM 49.9% 46.9% 3
Oct 31, 7:20 PM 48.5% 45.5% 3
Oct 31, 4:21 PM 50.0% 45.3% 4.7

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brandon miller points are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 1 hour ago.