LeBron James — Threes
+0.58pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+12245%45¢
against
Courtside's
+12245%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
LeBron James Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.0% against 53.5% (an edge of -10.5 points) and is now 45.3% against 46.6% (-1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 43.0% | 53.5% | -10.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 43.6% | 55.0% | -11.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 45.1% | 52.9% | -7.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 45.8% | 54.1% | -8.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 46.9% | 51.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 49.6% | 51.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 47.5% | 50.5% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 48.1% | 52.8% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 49.0% | 49.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 48.5% | 51.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 48.4% | 49.3% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 48.8% | 52.2% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 48.1% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 49.4% | 48.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 48.3% | 48.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 47.8% | 49.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 45.8% | 46.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 48.1% | 47.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 45.2% | 45.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 45.5% | 46.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 42.2% | 46.4% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 43.1% | 47.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 43.4% | 49.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 43.6% | 46.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 44.7% | 45.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:44 PM | 45.3% | 46.6% | -1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lebron james threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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