Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Victor Wembanyama Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.0% against 93.0% (an edge of -34 points) and is now 57.5% against 60.5% (-3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:20 AM | 59.0% | 93.0% | -34 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 56.3% | 62.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 56.5% | 64.5% | -8 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 57.8% | 62.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 AM | 59.4% | 62.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 60.4% | 62.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 58.6% | 62.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 56.3% | 62.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 56.8% | 63.8% | -7 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 57.2% | 62.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 56.7% | 62.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 56.8% | 62.4% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 57.2% | 62.2% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 57.6% | 62.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 55.7% | 62.1% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 59.0% | 61.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 56.3% | 61.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 59.8% | 60.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 59.3% | 60.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 57.5% | 60.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 56.6% | 61.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 57.1% | 61.3% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 58.3% | 60.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:44 PM | 57.5% | 60.5% | -3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing victor wembanyama threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 34m ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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