Deni Avdija — Assists
Projection 5.8
+0.58pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Fanatics Sportsbook's
+12544.4%44¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Deni Avdija Assists 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.2% against 40.7% (an edge of 1.5 points) and is now 42.5% against 40.0% (2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 12:50 PM | 42.2% | 40.7% | 1.5 |
| Oct 27, 1:40 PM | 39.8% | 42.6% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 2:00 PM | 42.6% | 42.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 27, 2:10 PM | 43.7% | 42.0% | 1.7 |
| Oct 27, 2:30 PM | 43.7% | 42.0% | 1.7 |
| Oct 27, 2:40 PM | 46.6% | 44.1% | 2.5 |
| Oct 27, 2:50 PM | 45.0% | 45.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 43.7% | 44.6% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 44.9% | 44.6% | 0.3 |
| Oct 27, 3:20 PM | 44.6% | 44.2% | 0.4 |
| Oct 27, 3:30 PM | 44.8% | 44.3% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 44.6% | 44.4% | 0.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 42.4% | 44.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 27, 4:20 PM | 42.2% | 44.4% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM | 41.9% | 42.9% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 43.7% | 44.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 42.1% | 44.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 42.6% | 44.1% | -1.5 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 42.8% | 44.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 43.7% | 44.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 43.3% | 44.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 42.5% | 44.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 6:10 PM | 42.0% | 45.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 42.6% | 44.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 7:20 PM | 40.6% | 44.4% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 42.4% | 43.3% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 41.7% | 43.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 42.2% | 43.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 43.7% | 42.5% | 1.2 |
| Oct 27, 8:20 PM | 41.7% | 43.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 PM | 43.7% | 42.3% | 1.4 |
| Oct 27, 8:40 PM | 44.3% | 42.3% | 2 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 PM | 43.6% | 42.0% | 1.6 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 44.6% | 41.3% | 3.3 |
| Oct 27, 9:10 PM | 43.8% | 40.4% | 3.4 |
| Oct 27, 9:20 PM | 42.5% | 40.4% | 2.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:42 PM | 42.5% | 40.0% | 2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 Novig
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 22m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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