Projection 9.8
+1.74pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+15639.1%39¢
against
Bovada's
+14540.8%41¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Cade Cunningham Assists 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.5% against 44.1% (an edge of -1.6 points) and is now 43.7% against 39.1% (4.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 4:50 AM | 42.5% | 44.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 AM | 44.6% | 44.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 AM | 45.5% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 AM | 46.9% | 45.5% | 1.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 AM | 48.1% | 46.0% | 2.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 AM | 45.9% | 46.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:10 AM | 46.6% | 46.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 AM | 47.2% | 45.2% | 2 |
| Oct 27, 8:20 AM | 48.1% | 46.2% | 1.9 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 AM | 46.9% | 46.2% | 0.7 |
| Oct 27, 8:40 AM | 45.5% | 45.8% | -0.3 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 AM | 47.6% | 45.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 AM | 44.5% | 45.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 27, 9:50 AM | 42.0% | 45.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 AM | 45.5% | 44.4% | 1.1 |
| Oct 27, 10:10 AM | 43.7% | 44.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 27, 10:20 AM | 43.3% | 44.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 10:30 AM | 44.2% | 43.6% | 0.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:40 AM | 43.7% | 43.2% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 AM | 45.0% | 42.0% | 3 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 AM | 45.2% | 42.9% | 2.3 |
| Oct 27, 11:20 AM | 44.7% | 42.7% | 2 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 44.9% | 44.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 27, 11:50 AM | 45.1% | 44.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 27, 12:10 PM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 27, 12:20 PM | 44.5% | 45.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 27, 12:30 PM | 45.0% | 45.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 27, 12:50 PM | 45.0% | 45.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 27, 1:10 PM | 45.0% | 45.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 27, 1:20 PM | 45.8% | 45.2% | 0.6 |
| Oct 27, 1:30 PM | 44.1% | 45.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 1:40 PM | 44.6% | 44.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 27, 1:50 PM | 43.7% | 44.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 2:10 PM | 45.8% | 44.1% | 1.7 |
| Oct 27, 2:40 PM | 44.6% | 44.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 44.6% | 44.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:20 PM | 44.8% | 43.8% | 1 |
| Oct 27, 3:30 PM | 45.4% | 43.9% | 1.5 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 44.3% | 43.2% | 1.1 |
| Oct 27, 3:50 PM | 45.4% | 42.9% | 2.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 44.5% | 42.6% | 1.9 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 45.4% | 44.3% | 1.1 |
| Oct 27, 4:20 PM | 45.8% | 42.6% | 3.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM | 44.9% | 42.7% | 2.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 45.6% | 43.8% | 1.8 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 44.1% | 43.4% | 0.7 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 43.7% | 43.4% | 0.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 44.4% | 43.4% | 1 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 43.7% | 42.0% | 1.7 |
| Oct 27, 5:50 PM | 43.3% | 42.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 39.1% | 42.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 27, 6:10 PM | 42.2% | 42.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 44.5% | 42.6% | 1.9 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 44.5% | 44.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:40 PM | 43.7% | 42.8% | 0.9 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 44.1% | 42.9% | 1.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 44.4% | 42.2% | 2.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:20 PM | 43.2% | 41.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 42.2% | 40.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 44.3% | 40.0% | 4.3 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 41.2% | 39.5% | 1.7 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 37.5% | 40.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 PM | 40.6% | 39.6% | 1 |
| Oct 27, 8:40 PM | 42.0% | 39.5% | 2.5 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 PM | 38.4% | 39.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 40.3% | 39.4% | 0.9 |
| Oct 27, 9:20 PM | 38.9% | 39.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 27, 9:30 PM | 37.9% | 40.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:41 PM | 43.7% | 39.1% | 4.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 43m ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 5h ago | ||
|
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 4m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium46 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 5 minutes ago.