Clint Capela — Points
Projection 6.4
+1.92pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
FanDuel's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Clint Capela Points 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 53.5% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 49.8% against 49.3% (0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 7:10 AM | 48.8% | 53.5% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 8:10 AM | 50.3% | 51.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 AM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 AM | 53.2% | 48.1% | 5.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 PM | 49.8% | 49.8% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 12:40 PM | 50.2% | 48.1% | 2.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 PM | 54.2% | 48.1% | 6.1 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 PM | 49.3% | 49.3% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 1:10 PM | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1.9 |
| Oct 28, 9:25 AM | 49.8% | 49.3% | 0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 47m ago | ||
| Courtside | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 18m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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