Projection 2.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Gui Santos Assists 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.4% against 51.9% (an edge of -3.5 points) and is now 48.1% against 49.6% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 48.4% | 51.9% | -3.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 49.5% | 51.5% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 48.4% | 51.0% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 AM | 47.7% | 51.5% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 8:40 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 9:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Nov 1, 10:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM | 49.0% | 52.4% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 49.5% | 52.4% | -2.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:30 AM | 49.4% | 52.4% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 46.8% | 52.4% | -5.6 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 50.3% | 52.2% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 PM | 52.0% | 51.9% | 0.1 |
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM | 50.6% | 52.2% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 50.6% | 52.2% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 50.6% | 52.5% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 50.8% | 52.3% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 50.3% | 51.8% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 PM | 49.8% | 51.7% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 49.3% | 51.7% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 PM | 50.4% | 52.2% | -1.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:40 PM | 49.5% | 51.8% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 49.8% | 52.2% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 3:30 PM | 49.7% | 52.4% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:10 PM | 50.0% | 49.5% | 0.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 PM | 50.8% | 50.4% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 PM | 50.5% | 50.5% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 50.4% | 51.9% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 5:40 PM | 52.6% | 50.7% | 1.9 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 PM | 49.2% | 49.0% | 0.2 |
| Nov 1, 6:20 PM | 49.4% | 51.9% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 7:40 PM | 49.8% | 48.1% | 1.7 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 PM | 49.1% | 48.7% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 PM | 48.4% | 47.4% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 8:10 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 PM | 48.1% | 49.6% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing gui santos assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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