Projection 11.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (12.5)
Teal bars cleared 12.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Terrence Shannon Points 12.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 54.3% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 51.0% against 53.8% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 48.1% | 54.3% | -6.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 49.5% | 53.4% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 AM | 49.0% | 53.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 48.7% | 53.9% | -5.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 49.2% | 53.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 50.6% | 52.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 49.8% | 52.4% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 49.4% | 49.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 49.5% | 49.5% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 49.2% | 50.2% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 50.2% | 51.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 47.9% | 50.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 52.7% | 51.0% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 PM | 52.2% | 52.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 PM | 49.3% | 56.1% | -6.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 51.6% | 56.1% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 PM | 47.1% | 56.1% | -9 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 PM | 51.8% | 53.8% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 PM | 50.4% | 51.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:29 PM | 51.0% | 53.8% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing terrence shannon points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 20m ago | ||
|
|
12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 32m ago | ||
|
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11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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