Keon Ellis — Points
Projection 6.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Keon Ellis Points 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 55.9% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 54.1% against 59.0% (-4.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 AM | 53.1% | 55.0% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 AM | 52.0% | 53.9% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 AM | 52.0% | 54.7% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 7:10 AM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 7:20 AM | 51.9% | 55.0% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 54.2% | 55.9% | -1.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 AM | 53.6% | 55.6% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM | 52.6% | 58.1% | -5.5 |
| Nov 1, 10:20 AM | 54.2% | 57.4% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM | 54.6% | 57.0% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 54.5% | 57.4% | -2.9 |
| Nov 1, 10:50 AM | 54.5% | 57.5% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 52.1% | 58.1% | -6 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM | 54.0% | 58.3% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 PM | 55.4% | 58.5% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 PM | 53.5% | 57.5% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 PM | 54.5% | 57.5% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM | 54.7% | 57.4% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 5:50 PM | 54.1% | 68.3% | -14.2 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 PM | 53.8% | 58.4% | -4.6 |
| Nov 1, 2:08 PM | 54.1% | 59.0% | -4.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing keon ellis points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 Pinnacle
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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