Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — Threes
Projection 1.9
+2.36pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
-11753.9%54¢
against
BetMGM's
-12054.5%55¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.2% against 71.0% (an edge of -12.8 points) and is now 57.0% against 57.1% (-0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:40 AM | 58.2% | 71.0% | -12.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 57.5% | 62.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 58.8% | 61.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 AM | 58.2% | 60.8% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 55.4% | 61.5% | -6.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 AM | 59.8% | 63.8% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 61.4% | 62.4% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 60.5% | 59.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 58.9% | 61.3% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 59.6% | 60.6% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 56.3% | 60.4% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 57.8% | 63.2% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 57.8% | 61.4% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 59.1% | 63.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 61.7% | 62.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 56.8% | 61.8% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 AM | 57.8% | 63.8% | -6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 58.1% | 62.4% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 62.5% | 59.0% | 3.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 57.9% | 61.4% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 57.8% | 62.4% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 56.3% | 61.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 55.4% | 65.0% | -9.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 57.2% | 60.4% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 58.2% | 60.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 58.7% | 59.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 59.4% | 59.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 56.5% | 61.5% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 57.5% | 61.5% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 57.4% | 59.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 58.0% | 59.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 56.7% | 57.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 57.3% | 58.2% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 56.6% | 57.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 58.8% | 58.1% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 58.2% | 59.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 56.7% | 55.5% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 57.0% | 57.1% | -0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing shai gilgeous-alexander threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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