Projection 6.1
+2.4pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-12755.9%56¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-14559.2%59¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Isaiah Jackson Rebounds 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.9% against 60.0% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 55.5% against 55.9% (-0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM | 54.9% | 60.0% | -5.1 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 56.3% | 61.2% | -4.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 AM | 56.9% | 60.0% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 AM | 57.0% | 59.5% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 6:10 AM | 57.2% | 59.5% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 58.4% | 60.3% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 58.1% | 60.0% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 55.5% | 59.8% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 55.2% | 59.5% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM | 54.9% | 59.4% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 57.2% | 59.8% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 57.2% | 59.2% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 PM | 57.2% | 59.5% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 55.4% | 59.0% | -3.6 |
| Nov 1, 4:10 PM | 56.7% | 59.4% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 56.7% | 58.7% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 PM | 56.9% | 55.9% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM | 55.5% | 55.9% | -0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing isaiah jackson rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 6h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 8h ago | ||
|
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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