Projection 7.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Day'Ron Sharpe Points 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 51.1% against 54.3% (-3.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 48.8% | 54.5% | -5.7 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 50.9% | 54.5% | -3.6 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 AM | 51.2% | 55.6% | -4.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 AM | 51.2% | 55.5% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 AM | 51.7% | 54.8% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:00 AM | 53.2% | 53.3% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 49.9% | 54.5% | -4.6 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 10:00 AM | 51.3% | 53.7% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 50.7% | 54.3% | -3.6 |
| Nov 1, 10:50 AM | 50.2% | 54.3% | -4.1 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 51.0% | 54.1% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 11:10 AM | 49.6% | 54.1% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 51.7% | 54.5% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 11:50 AM | 51.5% | 54.2% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 52.0% | 53.9% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.7% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 PM | 51.0% | 54.7% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 PM | 49.7% | 55.4% | -5.7 |
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.2% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 49.3% | 55.0% | -5.7 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 50.9% | 54.1% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 PM | 49.9% | 54.0% | -4.1 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 49.1% | 54.0% | -4.9 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 51.4% | 54.8% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 PM | 51.2% | 54.5% | -3.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 PM | 48.9% | 51.5% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 3:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.3% | -3.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 48.3% | 51.5% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM | 51.4% | 51.0% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:10 PM | 51.4% | 50.0% | 1.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 PM | 51.6% | 54.5% | -2.9 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 PM | 51.4% | 51.2% | 0.2 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 PM | 50.2% | 51.5% | -1.3 |
| Nov 1, 6:10 PM | 51.8% | 52.4% | -0.6 |
| Nov 1, 6:20 PM | 51.3% | 52.4% | -1.1 |
| Nov 1, 2:07 PM | 51.1% | 54.3% | -3.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing day'ron sharpe points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
8.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 4h ago | |
|
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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