Projection 8.5
Last 5 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 1 of 5 (20%).
Aday Mara Points 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.8% against 57.4% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.9% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 53.8% | 57.4% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 53.6% | 57.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 54.0% | 58.0% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 52.8% | 57.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 54.5% | 55.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 52.6% | 56.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 50.6% | 53.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 52.8% | 52.8% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 52.0% | 53.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.6% | 53.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 52.8% | 54.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 51.4% | 53.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 51.9% | 52.6% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 50.4% | 52.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:06 PM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aday mara points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 29m ago | ||
| Sportzino | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Sportzino last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium30 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 29 minutes ago.