Projection 14.4
+4.93pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11746.1%46¢
against
Stoiximan's
-10851.9%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Mario Hezonja Points Rebounds Assists 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 54.9% (an edge of -4.9 points) and is now 50.6% against 46.1% (4.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 50.0% | 54.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 50.5% | 55.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 49.6% | 53.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.4% | 54.4% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 50.2% | 54.2% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.4% | 53.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 50.6% | 48.0% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:43 PM | 50.6% | 46.1% | 4.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing mario hezonja points rebounds assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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