Projection 4.8
+0.91pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-15060%60¢
against
Tonybet's
-15460.6%61¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jay Huff Rebounds 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 57.8% against 63.8% (an edge of -6 points) and is now 57.5% against 60.0% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 5:00 AM | 57.8% | 63.8% | -6 |
| Nov 1, 10:20 AM | 59.0% | 63.0% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM | 56.7% | 59.7% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 56.5% | 59.7% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 10:50 AM | 57.5% | 56.9% | 0.6 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 57.1% | 58.9% | -1.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 PM | 59.2% | 60.9% | -1.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 PM | 59.2% | 63.0% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM | 56.3% | 65.8% | -9.5 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 57.8% | 55.6% | 2.2 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 PM | 60.2% | 55.6% | 4.6 |
| Nov 1, 7:00 PM | 59.2% | 55.6% | 3.6 |
| Nov 1, 7:10 PM | 60.2% | 55.6% | 4.6 |
| Nov 1, 8:40 PM | 58.9% | 55.6% | 3.3 |
| Nov 1, 4:45 PM | 57.5% | 60.0% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jay huff rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 38m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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