Projection 7.5
+0.03pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
Unibet's
+10050%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Kris Dunn Points 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 49.6% (an edge of -1.5 points) and is now 48.0% against 47.8% (0.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 48.1% | 49.6% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 46.9% | 49.3% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 AM | 47.6% | 49.0% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 AM | 47.7% | 50.0% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 AM | 49.0% | 48.6% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 6:10 AM | 48.2% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 6:20 AM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 47.8% | 49.5% | -1.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 48.3% | 49.3% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 48.5% | 49.3% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 48.0% | 49.3% | -1.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 PM | 47.9% | 45.5% | 2.4 |
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM | 47.6% | 47.8% | -0.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 47.8% | 49.8% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 47.3% | 47.4% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 1:30 PM | 47.8% | 45.5% | 2.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 47.3% | 47.4% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 47.7% | 45.5% | 2.2 |
| Nov 1, 2:40 PM | 48.2% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 46.8% | 45.5% | 1.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 PM | 49.0% | 46.1% | 2.9 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 46.5% | 48.8% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:50 PM | 48.1% | 48.5% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:10 PM | 46.8% | 48.3% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 PM | 46.2% | 46.9% | -0.7 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 46.7% | 48.1% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:40 PM | 46.9% | 46.9% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 PM | 46.7% | 49.0% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 6:40 PM | 48.0% | 46.9% | 1.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 PM | 48.1% | 48.8% | -0.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 PM | 48.8% | 48.8% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:10 PM | 48.0% | 46.9% | 1.1 |
| Nov 1, 10:10 PM | 48.0% | 48.8% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 5:29 PM | 48.0% | 47.8% | 0.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kris dunn points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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