Projection 23.7
+0.87pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-12054.5%55¢
against
DraftKings's
-10851.9%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Scoot Henderson Points Rebounds Assists 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 55.9% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 49.3% against 54.5% (-5.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 51.7% | 55.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 50.0% | 55.4% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 51.7% | 55.2% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 50.9% | 54.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 50.6% | 53.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 49.1% | 52.7% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.6% | 53.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 49.9% | 51.9% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 50.5% | 51.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 49.1% | 51.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 49.6% | 54.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 49.7% | 53.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 51.8% | 51.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 51.5% | 51.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 50.5% | 52.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:36 PM | 49.3% | 54.5% | -5.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing scoot henderson points rebounds assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3m ago | ||
|
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 3m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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