Projection 2.9
+0.92pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Bet99's
+11047.6%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Ty Jerome Threes 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.8% against 50.0% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 48.0% against 50.6% (-2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:40 AM | 46.8% | 50.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 AM | 48.0% | 51.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 AM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 AM | 46.9% | 50.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 AM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 AM | 44.5% | 48.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 44.6% | 48.6% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 AM | 46.6% | 48.1% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:40 AM | 44.5% | 49.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:22 AM | 48.0% | 50.6% | -2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ty jerome threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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