Projection 4.2
+2.4pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Bet99's
+12544.4%44¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Dylan Harper Assists 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.3% against 46.9% (an edge of -4.6 points) and is now 51.7% against 51.3% (0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 42.3% | 46.9% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 45.2% | 45.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 AM | 44.3% | 44.4% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 43.7% | 44.2% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 44.3% | 44.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 42.5% | 44.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 44.3% | 44.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 44.9% | 44.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 43.8% | 44.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 44.4% | 46.7% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 48.6% | 54.8% | -6.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 51.2% | 52.2% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 47.9% | 51.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 49.7% | 51.7% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 48.6% | 52.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 52.0% | 52.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 49.9% | 50.2% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 56.3% | 53.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 54.9% | 55.3% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 56.7% | 53.5% | 3.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:42 PM | 51.7% | 51.3% | 0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dylan harper assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 7h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Sportzino | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Sportzino last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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