Projection 19.5
+0.46pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+12045.5%45¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+11047.6%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)
Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Brandon Williams Points Rebounds Assists 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 52.8% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 47.3% against 48.9% (-1.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 8:40 AM | 48.8% | 52.8% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 49.7% | 53.1% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 49.0% | 52.8% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 50.6% | 52.8% | -2.2 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 PM | 49.5% | 53.2% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.3% | -0.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 49.6% | 49.7% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 49.4% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 49.4% | 53.0% | -3.6 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 49.6% | 53.0% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 49.0% | 47.2% | 1.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 49.7% | 46.5% | 3.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 PM | 50.5% | 47.2% | 3.3 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 PM | 50.3% | 52.4% | -2.1 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 50.1% | 52.4% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 49.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Nov 1, 5:40 PM | 49.2% | 49.4% | -0.2 |
| Nov 1, 5:50 PM | 48.8% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Nov 1, 6:00 PM | 50.0% | 49.4% | 0.6 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 PM | 48.5% | 46.1% | 2.4 |
| Nov 1, 7:10 PM | 49.1% | 49.2% | -0.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 PM | 47.5% | 44.4% | 3.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:40 PM | 47.2% | 46.9% | 0.3 |
| Nov 1, 7:50 PM | 46.6% | 49.6% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 PM | 45.9% | 44.4% | 1.5 |
| Nov 1, 8:50 PM | 46.6% | 44.1% | 2.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:47 PM | 47.3% | 48.9% | -1.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brandon williams points rebounds assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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