Projection 12.5
+0.7pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
FanDuel's
-10451%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)
Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Dennis Schroder Points 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 48.9% against 48.5% (0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 51.2% | 53.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 49.5% | 53.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 50.1% | 52.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 49.3% | 51.8% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 50.5% | 51.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 47.2% | 49.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 47.5% | 51.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 47.3% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.2% | 48.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 49.0% | 49.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 49.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 49.5% | 49.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 50.9% | 48.3% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 50.5% | 48.5% | 2 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 49.1% | 48.8% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 47.5% | 48.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 48.1% | 50.2% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.0% | 48.5% | 2.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 48.1% | 48.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 49.1% | 48.1% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 48.8% | 48.5% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:05 PM | 48.9% | 48.5% | 0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dennis schroder points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 8m ago | ||
|
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 43m ago | ||
|
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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