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Dennis Schroder — Points

Projection 12.5

+0.7pp vs fair: KalshiKalshi prices the over at +10848.1%48¢ against FanDuelFanDuel's -10451%51¢ .

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)

Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).

Dennis Schroder Points 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 48.9% against 48.5% (0.4 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 31, 7:10 AM 48.0% 53.1% -5.1
Oct 31, 7:20 AM 51.2% 53.9% -2.7
Oct 31, 7:30 AM 49.5% 53.1% -3.6
Oct 31, 7:40 AM 50.1% 52.9% -2.8
Oct 31, 7:50 AM 51.0% 52.6% -1.6
Oct 31, 8:10 AM 49.3% 51.8% -2.5
Oct 31, 10:00 AM 50.5% 51.9% -1.4
Oct 31, 11:10 AM 47.2% 49.0% -1.8
Oct 31, 12:00 PM 47.5% 51.9% -4.4
Oct 31, 2:40 PM 50.0% 49.0% 1
Oct 31, 3:00 PM 47.3% 49.0% -1.7
Oct 31, 3:20 PM 50.0% 49.0% 1
Oct 31, 3:30 PM 47.2% 48.5% -1.3
Oct 31, 3:50 PM 49.0% 49.4% -0.4
Oct 31, 4:00 PM 49.0% 49.6% -0.6
Oct 31, 4:10 PM 49.5% 49.0% 0.5
Oct 31, 4:30 PM 50.9% 48.3% 2.6
Oct 31, 4:50 PM 50.5% 48.5% 2
Oct 31, 5:00 PM 49.1% 48.8% 0.3
Oct 31, 5:10 PM 47.5% 48.5% -1
Oct 31, 5:20 PM 48.1% 50.2% -2.1
Oct 31, 6:20 PM 51.0% 48.5% 2.5
Oct 31, 6:30 PM 48.1% 48.5% -0.4
Oct 31, 6:40 PM 49.0% 48.1% 0.9
Oct 31, 6:50 PM 49.1% 48.1% 1
Oct 31, 7:00 PM 48.8% 48.5% 0.3
Oct 31, 3:05 PM 48.9% 48.5% 0.4

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dennis schroder points are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 8 minutes ago.