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Toumani Camara — Threes

Projection 2.2

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)

Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).

Toumani Camara Threes 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.9% against 48.5% (an edge of -4.6 points) and is now 46.1% against 48.6% (-2.5 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 29, 4:50 AM 43.9% 48.5% -4.6
Oct 29, 5:00 AM 45.6% 48.5% -2.9
Oct 29, 5:20 AM 46.6% 46.9% -0.3
Oct 29, 5:30 AM 46.2% 48.1% -1.9
Oct 29, 5:50 AM 48.2% 47.6% 0.6
Oct 29, 6:00 AM 45.9% 47.4% -1.5
Oct 29, 6:10 AM 47.3% 48.6% -1.3
Oct 29, 6:20 AM 51.0% 48.0% 3
Oct 29, 6:40 AM 52.0% 49.8% 2.2
Oct 29, 7:10 AM 46.5% 47.5% -1
Oct 29, 7:30 AM 45.0% 49.0% -4
Oct 29, 7:40 AM 44.6% 49.8% -5.2
Oct 29, 4:43 AM 46.1% 48.6% -2.5

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing toumani camara threes are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 1 hour ago.