Projection 8.8
+1.51pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10249.5%50¢
against
Stoiximan's
-11854.1%54¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Jarrett Allen Rebounds 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 52.6% (an edge of -1.6 points) and is now 51.4% against 50.5% (0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:40 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 AM | 51.4% | 53.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 AM | 51.9% | 53.5% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 AM | 53.6% | 52.8% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 AM | 51.4% | 52.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 51.5% | 52.8% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 51.0% | 52.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:20 AM | 49.9% | 53.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 50.4% | 53.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 PM | 51.3% | 53.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 PM | 52.0% | 53.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 PM | 50.8% | 53.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 PM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 PM | 49.2% | 52.6% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 52.4% | 53.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 PM | 51.6% | 51.9% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 51.1% | 51.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 51.3% | 51.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 51.9% | 51.3% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 51.0% | 51.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 52.0% | 51.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 PM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 49.1% | 51.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 51.5% | 51.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 52.1% | 53.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 51.9% | 53.7% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 54.1% | 51.7% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 52.0% | 51.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 51.6% | 51.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 51.4% | 51.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 51.2% | 50.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 PM | 51.4% | 50.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 51.4% | 50.5% | 0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jarrett allen rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Rebet | 8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Rebet last repriced this 45m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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