Projection 16.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)
Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Sam Merrill Points Rebounds Assists 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.6% against 51.9% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 48.0% against 50.4% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 47.6% | 51.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 46.9% | 51.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 45.9% | 49.8% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 47.6% | 49.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 45.6% | 50.3% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 47.2% | 49.8% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 43.7% | 50.0% | -6.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 47.6% | 49.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 42.2% | 49.5% | -7.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 48.0% | 49.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 48.2% | 49.8% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 45.9% | 51.0% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 49.0% | 52.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 47.2% | 50.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 PM | 48.2% | 50.7% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:43 PM | 48.0% | 50.4% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing sam merrill points rebounds assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 6h ago | ||
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14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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