Sam Merrill — Assists
Projection 2.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Sam Merrill Assists 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.4% against 64.8% (an edge of -6.4 points) and is now 59.0% against 62.0% (-3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 58.4% | 64.8% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 58.1% | 62.0% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 60.4% | 67.0% | -6.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 59.9% | 66.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 56.7% | 67.0% | -10.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 60.1% | 64.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 57.5% | 60.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 59.0% | 62.0% | -3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing sam merrill assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 6h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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