Kalshi
+12744.1%44¢
vs
FanDuel
-10451%51¢
· +6.93pp vs FanDuel
fair 46.1% · edge +0.02pp (worst case -2.6pp) — this edge is 0.02 percentage points under the de-vigging method BeatVig publishes and as little as -2.6 under the least flattering of the 4 methods that fit Kalshi's own two-sided prices
+2.02pp
was the raw edge before Kalshi's
fee, which takes 2.0 percentage points of it