Brandon Williamson — Strikeouts
Projection 2.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Brandon Williamson Strikeouts 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.1% against 55.9% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 53.2% against 59.5% (-6.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2:00 AM | 50.1% | 55.9% | -5.8 |
| Sep 22, 2:10 AM | 54.5% | 57.8% | -3.3 |
| Sep 22, 2:20 AM | 50.3% | 59.7% | -9.4 |
| Sep 22, 2:30 AM | 54.5% | 60.0% | -5.5 |
| Sep 22, 3:10 AM | 53.1% | 58.7% | -5.6 |
| Sep 22, 3:40 AM | 53.2% | 59.5% | -6.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1m ago | |
|
Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1m ago | |
 DraftKings
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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