Projection 51.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (56.5)
Teal bars cleared 56.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards 56.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.2% against 55.0% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 50.2% against 60.6% (-10.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 3:30 AM | 50.2% | 55.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 26, 4:40 AM | 51.5% | 67.7% | -16.2 |
| Oct 26, 12:48 AM | 50.2% | 60.6% | -10.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 56.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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56.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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56.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 5m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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