Projection 1.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Josh Jacobs Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.0% against 51.9% (an edge of -4.9 points) and is now 46.2% against 51.0% (-4.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 3:30 AM | 47.0% | 51.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 26, 3:40 AM | 46.2% | 51.1% | -4.9 |
| Oct 26, 3:50 AM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 26, 12:45 AM | 46.2% | 51.0% | -4.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 55m ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 56m ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 54m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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