How this price has moved at 9.5
Josh Jacobs Longest Reception 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.9% against 51.9% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 46.8% against 51.9% (-5.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 4:00 AM | 46.9% | 51.9% | -5 |
| Oct 27, 1:43 AM | 46.8% | 51.9% | -5.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 7h ago | ||
| Courtside | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 7h ago | ||
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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