Projection 0.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.5% against 59.7% (an edge of -7.2 points) and is now 53.5% against 55.0% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 3:10 AM | 52.5% | 59.7% | -7.2 |
| Oct 26, 3:30 AM | 53.5% | 55.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 26, 12:46 AM | 53.5% | 55.0% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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DraftKings does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 9m ago | |
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FanDuel does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3m ago | |
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Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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