Projection 26.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (24.5)
Teal bars cleared 24.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Aaron Gordon Points Rebounds Assists 24.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 54.1% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 48.8% against 49.5% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 4:50 AM | 49.4% | 54.1% | -4.7 |
| Oct 26, 5:40 AM | 49.0% | 53.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 26, 6:20 AM | 48.8% | 52.6% | -3.8 |
| Oct 26, 6:50 AM | 48.6% | 51.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 26, 12:20 PM | 50.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 26, 1:30 PM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 26, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 26, 2:00 PM | 49.8% | 53.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 26, 2:10 PM | 48.0% | 51.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 26, 2:30 PM | 48.6% | 53.1% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 4:00 PM | 49.6% | 53.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 4:20 PM | 46.9% | 53.1% | -6.2 |
| Oct 26, 4:30 PM | 49.0% | 52.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 26, 7:10 PM | 49.4% | 52.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 26, 7:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 26, 7:50 PM | 50.4% | 53.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 26, 8:20 PM | 48.6% | 53.1% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 8:30 PM | 49.2% | 52.2% | -3 |
| Oct 26, 9:10 PM | 49.0% | 50.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 26, 9:20 PM | 48.3% | 51.2% | -2.9 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 48.2% | 51.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 49.1% | 50.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 26, 11:00 PM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 26, 9:22 PM | 48.8% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Unibet last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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