Projection 18.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Derrick White Points Assists 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 59.0% (an edge of -8 points) and is now 48.2% against 50.6% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1:50 PM | 51.0% | 59.0% | -8 |
| Oct 27, 2:00 PM | 52.0% | 56.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 27, 2:10 PM | 52.6% | 56.3% | -3.7 |
| Oct 27, 2:20 PM | 51.5% | 55.5% | -4 |
| Oct 27, 2:30 PM | 51.5% | 56.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 2:40 PM | 52.0% | 56.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 52.0% | 55.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 51.9% | 55.8% | -3.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:20 PM | 50.7% | 55.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 52.4% | 56.3% | -3.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:50 PM | 50.3% | 55.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 51.4% | 54.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 4:20 PM | 52.8% | 55.4% | -2.6 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM | 53.6% | 55.2% | -1.6 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 51.0% | 56.3% | -5.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 50.1% | 53.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 49.4% | 53.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 49.7% | 51.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 50.3% | 53.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 27, 6:10 PM | 50.5% | 53.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 49.4% | 53.3% | -3.9 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 49.5% | 52.5% | -3 |
| Oct 27, 6:40 PM | 49.4% | 53.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 49.3% | 53.3% | -4 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 50.8% | 51.9% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:10 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 51.1% | 50.5% | 0.6 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 49.1% | 49.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 49.3% | 52.4% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 8:00 PM | 48.6% | 52.7% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 48.5% | 51.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 8:20 PM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 PM | 49.0% | 52.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 27, 8:40 PM | 49.0% | 52.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 PM | 48.6% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 48.6% | 52.6% | -4 |
| Oct 27, 9:10 PM | 47.9% | 50.7% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 9:20 PM | 48.4% | 50.6% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM | 49.4% | 51.7% | -2.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:43 PM | 48.2% | 50.6% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15m ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 12m ago | ||
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 17m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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