Projection 13.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Clint Capela Points Rebounds 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 51.9% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 48.4% against 51.9% (-3.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 7:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 AM | 50.9% | 51.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 PM | 48.7% | 51.8% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:20 PM | 49.1% | 53.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 28, 12:40 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 PM | 48.4% | 51.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 9:23 AM | 48.4% | 51.9% | -3.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Courtside | 15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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