Mitchell Robinson — Points
Projection 5.0
+1.57pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+12744.1%44¢
against
Courtside's
+11546.5%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Mitchell Robinson Points 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.8% against 55.6% (an edge of 1.2 points) and is now 54.1% against 54.4% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 56.8% | 55.6% | 1.2 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 54.0% | 57.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 54.4% | 54.8% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:40 PM | 56.2% | 54.9% | 1.3 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 54.5% | 55.6% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 53.8% | 52.4% | 1.4 |
| Oct 27, 7:10 PM | 54.5% | 57.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 54.3% | 56.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 52.0% | 56.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 54.1% | 55.6% | -1.5 |
| Oct 27, 8:00 PM | 54.4% | 55.4% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 54.2% | 54.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 27, 4:46 PM | 54.1% | 54.4% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 28m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Hard Rock Bet
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 50m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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