Keon Ellis — Points Assists
Projection 9.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Keon Ellis Points Assists 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.7% against 51.0% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 48.0% against 52.6% (-4.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 5:30 AM | 47.7% | 51.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 AM | 44.3% | 53.5% | -9.2 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 AM | 48.3% | 52.6% | -4.3 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 AM | 46.2% | 50.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 27, 7:10 AM | 46.5% | 51.5% | -5 |
| Oct 27, 9:50 AM | 46.4% | 51.7% | -5.3 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 AM | 46.4% | 52.6% | -6.2 |
| Oct 27, 11:50 AM | 46.0% | 63.2% | -17.2 |
| Oct 27, 12:00 PM | 46.8% | 52.8% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 1:00 PM | 45.5% | 52.4% | -6.9 |
| Oct 27, 1:30 PM | 47.9% | 52.4% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 1:40 PM | 47.0% | 51.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 27, 1:50 PM | 47.8% | 52.4% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 2:00 PM | 48.0% | 52.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 27, 2:10 PM | 46.4% | 52.4% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 2:20 PM | 47.5% | 52.4% | -4.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 45.5% | 52.4% | -6.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:50 PM | 44.6% | 52.4% | -7.8 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 43.8% | 51.9% | -8.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 46.2% | 49.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 PM | 47.9% | 52.8% | -4.9 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 PM | 48.6% | 51.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 48.2% | 52.4% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 9:10 PM | 47.2% | 51.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 27, 9:20 PM | 48.5% | 52.4% | -3.9 |
| Oct 27, 9:30 PM | 49.5% | 52.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM | 48.5% | 52.6% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 5:41 PM | 48.0% | 52.6% | -4.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Stoiximan | 8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Stoiximan last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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