Projection 4.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Jay Huff Rebounds 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.2% against 51.5% (an edge of -2.3 points) and is now 49.2% against 52.1% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 9:00 PM | 49.2% | 51.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 26, 9:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 26, 9:50 PM | 50.7% | 53.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:00 PM | 48.9% | 51.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 26, 10:10 PM | 47.5% | 50.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 48.4% | 50.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 50.3% | 50.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 26, 10:50 PM | 51.0% | 52.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 26, 11:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 26, 7:18 PM | 49.2% | 52.1% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 19m ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 34m ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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