Projection 14.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jay Huff Points Rebounds 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.4% against 51.9% (an edge of -5.5 points) and is now 49.0% against 50.6% (-1.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 9:00 PM | 46.4% | 51.9% | -5.5 |
| Oct 26, 9:30 PM | 46.7% | 51.9% | -5.2 |
| Oct 26, 9:50 PM | 45.5% | 52.6% | -7.1 |
| Oct 26, 10:00 PM | 47.5% | 51.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 45.7% | 56.5% | -10.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 49.6% | 51.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 26, 10:50 PM | 49.4% | 50.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 26, 11:00 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 26, 7:18 PM | 49.0% | 50.6% | -1.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15m ago | ||
| Courtside | 15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 22m ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 19m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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