Jay Huff — Points
Projection 10.3
+1.7pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-13557.4%57¢
against
Sportzino's
-11553.5%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (10.5)
Teal bars cleared 10.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Jay Huff Points 10.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.1% against 50.5% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 49.1% against 50.5% (-1.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 9:00 PM | 47.1% | 50.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 9:10 PM | 46.9% | 51.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 26, 9:30 PM | 48.1% | 50.1% | -2 |
| Oct 26, 9:40 PM | 47.5% | 50.5% | -3 |
| Oct 26, 9:50 PM | 48.8% | 49.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 26, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 26, 10:10 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 26, 10:30 PM | 47.6% | 47.4% | 0.2 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 48.6% | 49.8% | -1.2 |
| Oct 26, 10:50 PM | 52.0% | 50.2% | 1.8 |
| Oct 26, 11:00 PM | 50.2% | 50.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 26, 7:18 PM | 49.1% | 50.5% | -1.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
10.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 26m ago | |
 BetRivers
|
10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 36m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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