Projection 9.0
Last 2 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 1 of 2 (50%).
Trevon Brazile Points 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 50.0% against 54.1% (-4.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 6:50 AM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 26, 5:18 AM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 4m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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