Projection 19.5
+1.51pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10249.5%50¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-10350.7%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (18.5)
Teal bars cleared 18.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Draymond Green Points Rebounds Assists 18.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.4% against 57.6% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 51.4% against 52.7% (-1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 6:20 AM | 52.4% | 57.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 26, 6:50 AM | 51.4% | 55.3% | -3.9 |
| Oct 26, 10:10 AM | 52.5% | 55.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 AM | 53.1% | 55.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 26, 11:40 AM | 50.8% | 56.4% | -5.6 |
| Oct 26, 12:00 PM | 52.1% | 56.3% | -4.2 |
| Oct 26, 12:10 PM | 51.6% | 56.3% | -4.7 |
| Oct 26, 1:00 PM | 52.0% | 57.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 26, 1:20 PM | 53.1% | 58.7% | -5.6 |
| Oct 26, 1:50 PM | 52.4% | 56.7% | -4.3 |
| Oct 26, 2:10 PM | 51.6% | 56.2% | -4.6 |
| Oct 26, 2:30 PM | 51.9% | 56.4% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 4:00 PM | 51.6% | 55.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 26, 4:20 PM | 52.3% | 56.4% | -4.1 |
| Oct 26, 4:30 PM | 51.9% | 56.4% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 5:10 PM | 51.7% | 55.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 26, 5:20 PM | 54.1% | 56.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 26, 5:50 PM | 53.1% | 55.4% | -2.3 |
| Oct 26, 6:10 PM | 52.4% | 55.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 26, 6:30 PM | 52.0% | 55.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 6:50 PM | 53.1% | 55.8% | -2.7 |
| Oct 26, 7:40 PM | 51.9% | 55.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 26, 8:20 PM | 52.3% | 55.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 26, 8:30 PM | 51.5% | 55.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 26, 9:20 PM | 51.6% | 55.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 51.8% | 56.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 10:30 PM | 52.3% | 55.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 51.4% | 52.2% | -0.8 |
| Oct 26, 10:50 PM | 50.5% | 52.7% | -2.2 |
| Oct 26, 11:00 PM | 52.0% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Oct 26, 9:22 PM | 51.4% | 52.7% | -1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
18.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | |
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 9m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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